Monday, January 22, 2007

New Strategy

New strategy has been announced by President Bush. Mr. Bush said in his address to the nation:
"The elections of 2005 were a stunning achievement. We thought that these elections would bring the Iraqis together, and that as we trained Iraqi security forces we could accomplish our mission with fewer American troops."
It is not a felicitous opening since Mr. Bush referred to what really happened:
"But in 2006, the opposite happened. The violence in Iraq -- particularly in Baghdad -- overwhelmed the political gains the Iraqis had made."
The above invokes a query whether the new strategy will succeed or not since:
"Al Qaeda terrorists and Sunni insurgents recognized the mortal danger that Iraq's elections posed for their cause, and they responded with outrageous acts of murder aimed at innocent Iraqis."
What makes the President sure that these adversaries won't go any further to harm more innocents using much filthy ways? They have no morality, so nothing would restrain their atrocities.

It seems that the US administration does not comprehend what it means to be a baathist or saddamist. The Baath party, especially the saddamist wing, represents the most suitable way for losers and criminals to seize power. And through more than four decades in power, a very sophisticated system of security and intelligence services was established. Many of theses services' personnel were trained in the former soviet bloc countries, Cuba, and many other eastern & western European countries.

These services, working underground and undercover, are exploiting Al Qaeda and Sunni insurgents to keep Iraq unstable. They are ready to make use of every opportunity to infiltrate their followers into the governmental institutions to undermine the whole political process. Take the national assembly as an example; it has been unable to hold an official session for the last two months since the majority of the representatives are outside Iraq. It is one way to cripple the political process. They are even thought to exploit Al Mahdee army of Muqtada. They are ready to go as far as cooperating with Iran and even the devil to achieve their goals.

President Bush said:
"The situation in Iraq is unacceptable to the American people -- and it is unacceptable to me."
And for the vast majority of the Iraqi people. The Iraqis are the main victims of all what's going on in Iraq.

Asking Iraqis about their opinion about President Bush's new strategy, they shrug saying 'It won't differ from the previous ones', and we will listen to Mr. Bush again saying:
"Where mistakes have been made, the responsibility rests with me."
And:
"It is clear that we need to change our strategy in Iraq."
The Iraqis are so fatigued of more than a quarter century of wars and unfulfilled promises. Quite majority of them consider the new strategy an additional promise which will be piled up with previous ones made by the Americans and Saddam before them. Even Mr. Bush himself is not sure of what he is doing:
"…we all agreed that there is no magic formula for success in Iraq."
President Bush discovers after about four years that:
"The most urgent priority for success in Iraq is security, especially in Baghdad. Eighty percent of Iraq's sectarian violence occurs within 30 miles of the capital."
President Bush has committed more than 20,000 additional American troops to Iraq. These troops will have a well-defined mission:
"…to help Iraqis clear and secure neighborhoods, to help them protect the local population, and to help ensure that the Iraqi forces left behind are capable of providing the security that Baghdad needs."
The latter sentence of the above is the most difficult matter since Iraqis, as individuals, need a very large amount of 'collective mentality rehabilitation'. They are easy to be seduced into schemes against their own interests and to be intimidated by criminals especially the baathists.

Good news for the saddamists is:
"America's commitment is not open-ended."
Another good one is that the US grip might wane by November. If this grip would become so firm in the coming days, then the saddamists will withdraw and wait till November.
"To establish its authority, the Iraqi government plans to take responsibility for security in all of Iraq's provinces by November."
Moreover, the Democrats' opposition sounds promising for the baathists; even if they don't manage to achieve something for the time being, they would wait for the Democrats to regain power two years ahead.

The main commodity for the baathists to market is bloodshed, and Mr. Bush defined it clearly:
"Our enemies in Iraq will make every effort to ensure that our television screens are filled with images of death and suffering."
Then what? It has been years (since 2003); all what we hear are promises. On ground the situation is deteriorating day after another. The baathists are taking over neighborhoods one by one. People are fed up and not showing much interest in who is ruling. The problem is the baathists, working undercover of Islamists, do hurt the citizens. In my neighborhood the schools have been closed, because of threats, as the recent deteriorating step. Add to it the whole collapse of services and the absence of any power of the Iraqi government. The government is not capable of protecting schools and their staffs. Still, Mr. President says:
"Ordinary Iraqi citizens must see that military operations are accompanied by visible improvements in their neighborhoods and communities."
Another point of view one could hear says that there is no use of the American project and the Iraqis have to line up with the extremist to start:
"…building a radical Islamic empire, and launching new attacks on the United States at home and abroad."
This point of view calls for new Islamic era which should reign over the world. It is an expected outcome because of frustration people feel here.

President Bush asks an excellent question:
"Will America withdraw and yield the future of that country to the extremists, or will we stand with the Iraqis who have made the choice for freedom?"
Choosing freedom needs back up. The state of law must be enforced, but Mr. Bush introduces a discouraging description:
"The terrorists and insurgents in Iraq are without conscience, and they will make the year ahead bloody and violent. Even if our new strategy works exactly as planned, deadly acts of violence will continue -- and we must expect more Iraqi and American casualties. The question is whether our new strategy will bring us closer to success. I believe that it will."
But lots of people doubt it. The last words of President's address sounds like a hope more than a decisive decision to abolish terror in Iraq.
"We can, and we will, prevail."
Finally, President Bush said in his radio address on January 13:
"To oppose everything while proposing nothing is irresponsible"
It is applicable to this post. I have no idea how to get out of all this mess. And even if I have one, it won't be the ultimate one. The most pleasing thing is no one listens to my prattle.

4 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

I, for one, find your "prattle" intelligent and articulate. If there is a complaint about your posts, it is that they are too infrequent. Please continue what your are doing.

1:16 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I agree with Anonymous. May God bless you and give you strength and let Freedom and justice come to Iraq.

3:24 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ibn, I sense some frustration with Bush's speeches. Try to read through them to his main purpose -- victory for us all. Remember, in his public speeches he is aware that his words will be read by both supporters and adversaries here in the US, but also in Iraq, Iran, Jordan, the EU and bin Laden in his cave (if he still exists). I'm sure if he could he would mention that the IP probably really needs to be rebuilt to ensure their loyalty to Iraq, not a political/sectarian party. He'd say steps will be taken to foil the Iranian plots... He's well aware of these things and they have made plans to counter all those things possible, he just can't say so. The new General Patreaus is a good one. The plan was developed with his help. I know it's hard to be patient, but there are some good signs -- arrests of corrupt officials who seemed untouchable before, for example. Hopefully people will become more assured and more reports of bad guys will be sent to the authorities.

I am hopeful. Please try to be also.

Jan

7:14 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ibn, here's a link to an article about some new developments in Iraq and Iran that don't seem to make the main stream media.

http://frontpagemag.com/Articles/ReadArticle.asp?ID=26865

It is encouraging.

Jan

2:13 AM  

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